I don't know, nobody knows. Confirmed cases (tested positive by whatever test protocol is used), deaths, and recoveries are the only things that are possible to actually count.
Here you go...I believe is started in November, maybe got loose in late October. I believe it wasnt untill after the second mutations and people where reinfected that they started to realize this was much worse than they thought.
In the earliest case, the patient became ill on 1 December 2019 and had no reported link to the seafood market, the authors report. “No epidemiological link was found between the first patient and later cases,” they state. Their data also show that, in total, 13 of the 41 cases had no link to the marketplace. “That’s a big number, 13, with no link,” says Daniel Lucey, an infectious disease specialist at Georgetown University.
Lucey says if the new data are accurate, the first human infections must have occurred in November 2019—if not earlier—because there is an incubation time between infection and symptoms surfacing. If so, the virus possibly spread silently between people in Wuhan—and perhaps elsewhere—before the cluster of cases from the city’s now-infamous Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was discovered in late December. “The virus came into that marketplace before it came out of that marketplace,” Lucey asserts.
Ukraine’s effort to quarantine more than 70 people evacuated from China over the new virus outbreak plunged into chaos
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-clash-with-police-over-coronavirus-evacuees
THOUSANDS of travelers are doing a voluntary self-quarantine after returning to the US from coronavirus-ridden China, officials say.
These US citizens are being asked to stay home for two weeks for precautionary reasons, according to NBC News, even though they are not likely to be at risk to their neighbors.
"The travelers have all been very cooperative," Dr. Sherlita Amler, the health commissioner for New York's Westchester County, told NBC.
"They don't want to expose their friends and their family. They just want to be home and safe."
Wuhan biolab sold lab animals as wild-caught to wet markets
http://archive.is/r4R0w
BEIJING - Authorities in Hubei province reported good news Thursday: There were only 349 new coronavirus cases the previous day, the lowest tally in weeks.
The bad - and puzzling - news? Wuhan, the capital of Hubei, reported 615 new cases all by itself.
As Chinese leaders and state media strike a coordinated note this week on the government's ability to contain the outbreak, inconsistencies and sudden changes in official data are leaving experts - and journalists - struggling to plot meaningful trends, or even place any confidence in the figures coming from government.
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