Update on chinese Coronavirus issue

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IMHO, Taiwan is playing this correctly. By sharing their masks and other products, they are winning the hearts of the rest of the world. Taiwan has a large manufacturing base (just look at all the made in Taiwan labels) and if they converted this over to making the safety supplies for the rest of the world, then they will gain a lot is international support when China tries to convince the world that they own Taiwan.
 
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/02/health/aerosol-coronavirus-spread-white-house-letter/index.html
Experts tell White House coronavirus can spread through talking or even just breathing
Fineberg, chair of the NAS' Standing Committee on Emerging Infectious Diseases and 21st Century Health Threats, said his letter was sent Wednesday evening in response to a query from Kelvin Droegemeier with the Office of Science and Technology Policy at the White House.

"This letter responds to your question concerning the possibility that [coronavirus] could be spread by conversation, in addition to sneeze/cough-induced droplets," the letter states. "Currently available research supports the possibility that [coronavirus] could be spread via bioaerosols generated directly by patients' exhalation," it continues.
 
https://news.yahoo.com/antibody-tests-key-ending-covid-19-lockdowns-162305617.html
Antibody tests key to ending COVID-19 lockdowns
Paris (AFP) - It's the key that opens to door from total lockdown: serologic testing, which will show definitively who has contracted COVID-19 and is in theory safe to return to work.

"Everyone's waiting for serologic testing, the whole world," said France's Health Minister Olivier Veran.

He said that the global research community was focussing on ways of perfecting the tests, which measure viral antibodies in a person's blood that signal immunity.

Veran said that mass production of the tests could start within weeks.

 
https://news.yahoo.com/antibody-tests-key-ending-covid-19-lockdowns-162305617.html
Antibody tests key to ending COVID-19 lockdowns
Paris (AFP) - It's the key that opens to door from total lockdown: serologic testing, which will show definitively who has contracted COVID-19 and is in theory safe to return to work.

"Everyone's waiting for serologic testing, the whole world," said France's Health Minister Olivier Veran.

He said that the global research community was focussing on ways of perfecting the tests, which measure viral antibodies in a person's blood that signal immunity.

Veran said that mass production of the tests could start within weeks.
I had a rough flu over the Christmas holiday and really wish there was a way to test to see if that was COVID or not. I imagine it was just the flu due to the timeline but sure would like to know for certain.
 
House Arrest and solitary confinement. I am only allowed to talk to the Warden (wife) in person. All other communications must be electronic. I really don't miss face to face human interaction. I do look forward to the time we can get some property. Then I can have my own shooting range and almost no need to see people, other than family. Isolation and time to enjoy too, what more could you ask for?
 
COVID-19 Deaths per 1 million population as of 2 April 2020

San Marino ... 884
Italy ........ 230
Spain ........ 221
Andora ....... 184
Belgium ...... 87
France ....... 83
Netherlands .. 78
Switzerland .. 62
Luxembourg ... 48
UK ........... 43
Iran ......... 38
Sweden ....... 30
San Martin ... 26
Monaco ....... 25
Sint Maarten . 23
Denmark ...... 21
Portugal ..... 20
Ireland ...... 20
USA .......... 18
 
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...ina-dismissing-government-tallies/ar-BB125Jnn
C.I.A. Hunts for Authentic Virus Totals in China, Dismissing Government Tallies
WASHINGTON — The C.I.A. has been warning the White House since at least early February that China has vastly understated its coronavirus infections and that its count could not be relied upon as the United States compiles predictive models to fight the virus, according to current and former intelligence officials.
 
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/02/health/aerosol-coronavirus-spread-white-house-letter/index.html
Experts tell White House coronavirus can spread through talking or even just breathing
Fineberg, chair of the NAS' Standing Committee on Emerging Infectious Diseases and 21st Century Health Threats, said his letter was sent Wednesday evening in response to a query from Kelvin Droegemeier with the Office of Science and Technology Policy at the White House.

"This letter responds to your question concerning the possibility that [coronavirus] could be spread by conversation, in addition to sneeze/cough-induced droplets," the letter states. "Currently available research supports the possibility that [coronavirus] could be spread via bioaerosols generated directly by patients' exhalation," it continues.
Someone here posted a video from a university in Japan, it goes right along with this article is saying.
 
House Arrest and solitary confinement. I am only allowed to talk to the Warden (wife) in person. All other communications must be electronic. I really don't miss face to face human interaction. I do look forward to the time we can get some property. Then I can have my own shooting range and almost no need to see people, other than family. Isolation and time to enjoy too, what more could you ask for?
Glad your seeing the best of this. Personally I’m fighting the urge to go batshit crazy here.... lol. Really missing going out to eat the most. I think I will make a take out run before too long but now that the confirmed cases are closer around its not a great idea.
 
COVID-19 Statistics as of 3 Apr 2020
Some good news, for the US anyhow, the % rate of new confirmed cases and new deaths has been falling for a couple of days now, and are no longer exponential. A constant or increasing % rate of increase is exponential, a constant absolute rate of increase is linear. The US is now in a linear rate of increase - not over the hump yet, but starting to plateau. Let's hope this trend holds and is not just a temporary respite.
Global rates are still exponential.
However...global Deaths/(Deaths+Recoveries) has been steadily falling for a few days which means recoveries are now outpacing deaths by a good margin. This is probably because the average time to full recovery is longer than the average time to death after onset, so there was a lag before the rate of recoveries caught up with the rate of deaths.
As the full extent of the pandemic in the 3rd World becomes more obvious, we may start seeing some shocking numbers however.

204 Countries reporting 1,040,656 confirmed cases and 55,188 deaths
USA reporting 245,442 (+30,085 +14%) confirmed cases and 6,098 (+985 +19%) deaths
Excluding China and Iran:
Confirmed: 905,853 (+82,609 +10%)
Deaths: 48,572 (+6,562 +16%)
Recoveries: 127, 734 (+17,842 +16%)
Deaths/(Deaths+Recoveries): 27.5% (-0.1%)

Countries with 1000 deaths or more.
Italy...... 13,915 . (+760 +6%) (as of 2 Apr)
Spain...... 10,935 . (+932 +9%)
USA........ 6,098 .. (+985 +19%)
France..... 5,387 .. (+1,355 +34%) :eek:(as of 2 Apr)
UK......... 2,921 .. (+569 +24%) (as of 2 Apr)
China...... 3,322 .. (+4 +0.001%) o_Oo_O
Iran....... 3,294 .. (+134 +4%) o_O
Netherlands 1,487 .. (+132 +11%)
Belgium.... 1,143 .. (+132 +13%)
Germany.... 1,138 .. (+176 +18%)
 
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