Human behavior in crisis

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I'll keep watching SA, as Capetown nears "Day 0".

On another subject, I came across some videos on youtube. The videos are of people playing an online video game called Day Z. Normally this isn't something I am into, but from watching several videos the human interaction is revealing.

The game is a survival game, in an area of 225 square kilometers. There has been a "zombie outbreak" (original) and you begin the game with the clothes on your back, and a random starting location. If you get wet, you can die of hypothermia or get sick. You can starve, or die of thirst.

You can watch the following things happen as people scrounge for supplies and interact with other players.

1. Many people quickly adopt a "KOS" or kill on sight principal. Many players will fake being friendly, laying down there guns and raising their hands, shouting that they are friendly, to draw out other players into the open so that the rest of their team can line up shots in the open. The only way to survive is to hide, and run from all contact, or find a decent rifle, and kill anyone you see who doesn't run.

2. If you try to barter, or help other players, you WILL be betrayed and shot in the back. One player actually conducted an experiment in the game, where he approached other players (who did not have visible guns) and offered them a pistol, without ammo. However, the pistol did have ammo, but was jammed. Once the other player picked it up, he would say that he had made a mistake and asked for the pistol back so that he could take the ammo. This resulted in the players who had received the gift pistol, raising it and pulling the trigger, only to hear it go click. This was the result in something like 90% of the times it was tried. You can watch on the video, as the person says, very kindly "I'm sorry, I didn't mean to give you the pistol ammo, I actually need it. You can have the gun, can I just get the two bullets back?" And the other player almost always points the pistol at his face and pulls the trigger. And this, after a very nice conversation during which the gun is given freely with no threatening behavior.

3. Cruelty. Its a little disturbing to watch. Of course it is a game, but the game is made to be very realistic. You can tie people up, put bags over their heads, make them kneel, all of that. And many players become bandits, and join other bandits to form larger groups, and all they do is victimize newer players, who have less gear. In this game, you can forget being a gray man. If you walk down the street, someone will shoot you just because they can. And the thing is, that forming a friendly group has benefits. Some people can look for food, others do security, others find water and supplies. But most of the players just shoot each other to steal supplies rather than go long distances to find them.

4. Cannibalism. It happens. If someone has a "character" that they have worked hard to build and get gear for, they will eat another player rather than starve. Some of them do it because it is easier to let the "food" come to them. It takes more energy to move about hunting and scrounging than it does waiting on the roof of an apartment complex, shooting people.

5. Curiosity. It amazed me to watch new players come into the game, wander around, and spot a pile of dead bodies, with lots of backpacks and tools. They would be nervous, but in the end they almost always try to run out and snatch something and get nailed by the sniper who is using that spot as bait. Its not desperation, they could walk right by and go scrounge food and water in a house, but nope. They want that shiny backpack full of sardines.

6. Conversion. Players who start out with the intention of being good, and helping others, get backstabbed and betrayed so fast, if they live they go to a policy of kill on sight. Some players will do things like put their little sister on the microphone, and have her pretend to be lost, so that she can get into another players refuge and drop a grenade, or spy out the interior. You really cant trust anyone.

7. The Best of the Best! The players who seem to survive longest, and end up with the best gear, don't go into towns often. They wear Ghillie suits, and carry the best military gear and camo clothing they can, and live in tents in the forest, far away from areas of high activity. They always sneak, AWLAYS, running crouched, moving slowly. They don't randomly shoot people, it draws attention. If they are spotted, they shoot, then leave the area immediately. They don't join groups, because someone in the group will turn on them (in the game this can be just out of boredom or for "fun"). The players that survive this way have the best survival rate, the highest kill numbers of other players, and by far the best gear. Now I don't know how well this relates to real life, but at the sight of one of the true "survival" players, in a ghillie suit with a FAL and an ACOG scope, many other players will just run away. The "survival" players aren't going to be drawn in with promises of friendship, many of them don't even speak to other players. The real "survival" players are known to be dangerous, and best avoided. Even large groups of bandits avoid them, you can hear them speaking on the game, talking about trying to take them out and usually deciding its not worth the risk.

Overall, I took some lessons from watching people play, I don't think most people here need to be told what I learned, its pretty obvious. I still think that in a real life SHTF crisis, many people would be the same decent people they started out as. But if the game is any indication, a lot of people will also choose to survive at any cost. In the game, a can of tuna might be the difference between living another day, or starving, and that drives some pretty brutal actions.

Just a video game, but still. Peoples natures seem to come out.
 
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SHTF Somewhere everyday . It comes in all forms . Right here in small town USA . We have had Civil unrest over political/social issues , floods , tornados, draught . One that stands out in the early 1980's We had a ice storm . It iced day one enough to cover every thing the temps dropped froxe everything solid , temps rose it rained and froze as soon as it hit the ground then repeated that cycle for several days the artic front moved in . Nearly a foot of ice covered everything for nearly a month . It broke power lines and blew transformers and Communities were out of power for most of that time vehicles couldn't move there were abandoned in the roads . After first couple weeks it snowed on top of the ice and some drivers could get out . I cant pinpoint any spike in crime and no looting . Fridges were empty People putting perishables outside to keep .A few People walked to town to go to the store and Folks shared and helped each other . Im not trying to play down any threats but pointing out that there is many events happening everyday that can be studied on Human behavior during crisis. Also a more current event is the Huntsville Alabama tornados several years ago . Many Folks from Northern AL Came up here to buy food and water because there wad no electricity there for quite a while . The Appalachian/Cumberland Plateau draught left the Moutain Communities throughout TN and AL without water . I saw People with trucks full of jugs , buckets , barrels driving around any business that had a outside water hydrant seeing how many they could fill up before being asked to leave , or stopping at gas station and pumping gas slowlyehile Kids filled water jugs as fast as possible . Intresting thing abought that natural desaster is communities in the valley's like where I live in a cove between the mountains were not effected but Mountain communities were completely out of H2O .
 
Oh, I grew up in a flood prone area. People do come together, absolutely. In my life, most of the emergencies I have seen barely qualified, and while they might be devastating to individuals or small groups, the country or state was just fine. Lots of people and Government to render aid. Other areas a short drive away that were unaffected.

Most emergencies are survivable just because the effects are short term. No time for people to get truly desperate.

It's a different world in 2018. I don't prep for the end of the world, Mad Max scenario. That would take an asteroid strike or something, and I don't know how you prepare for that, I think you just survive or don't and maybe you can give yourself a head start with just a little time and consideration. That's all I really prep for, just a little extra time to be food/water/shelter secure, just in case. And then IF (and that's a big if) something were to happen were I could not keep my family secure where we are now, have the ability to go somewhere I can maintain the essentials.
 
Speaking of civilized...

Every once in while I see an article where Turkey's President Erdogan threatens to "unleash the floodgates" of Middle Eastern/North African refugees onto the EU.

I got to wondering, how many are there? If there are already millions in the EU, how many more can there be?

I was surprised to find - 3.7 Million as of 01/10/2018 !

Actually, if this report is anything like factual, they are doing ok (well, not ok, I mean they are living in camps in the desert) but I mean better than I expected.

http://ec.europa.eu/echo/files/aid/countries/factsheets/turkey_syrian_crisis_en.pdf

Some images:
syrian-refugees-in-turkey-4.jpg


RTSU1N6.jpg


To put some perspective on that number, Rockford IL, the third largest city in the state, has a combined metro/suburb population of less than 500,00.

The EU and 14 member states? are funding this to the tune of 4.4 Billion since 2016, or 2.2 Billion a year.

According to the report, the registered refugees who are living in 21 camps and number 230,000. That's 21 camps of 11,000 each. The logistics must be astounding.

Could we pull that off in the US? Katrina displaced 600,000 households, with 400,000 still displaced after one month, and 117,000 temporarily housed in FEMA camps.

Turkey has been housing them (with help) since 2015, and no end in sight.

I have to imagine that discipline in the camps is enforced strictly. Also interesting that Turkey can manage this herculean humanitarian feat, but refugees live in open air bum camps in Paris.
 
Most communities still come together in a crises because there are an end point to the crises, in a crises that has no end point then we shall see a whole different situation that otherwise would have been charitable. As long as we have continuity people are civilized!

Quite so. The charitable side of humanity is often underestimated by those who don't understand how communities work. I think it's been a challenging year both sides of the Atlantic this past year with one thing and another, but it has also shown how people get things done without fuss.
 
don't risk your life on it.
we would all like to think that humans would come together in a crisis, but human nature dosent always work like that, human beings have some of the worst attitudes and behaviours, much worse than any wild animal, I've been around and I've seen it for myself.
if someone can make it work for them then fine, but i'm not risking my survival on other people being civilised in a crisis.
remember the old saying: "if you don't know them, haven't worked with them or spent time with them, then DONT trust them".
we cant afford to take chances with our very survival, proceed with caution.
 
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As has been said many times before, crises bring out both the best and the worst in human nature. That "worst" part is why we have to have some means of defense, be it booby traps, weapons or martial arts training.
 
Why aren’t the rich gulf states in the middle east taking care of these folks, why aren’t these young refugee men fighting to save there own country... lots of why’s, no, i have no sympathy nor for the West.

I don't know why the Gulf States aren't accepting refugees. But having been in Dubai, the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt... they aren't places I would want to go, or flee to. I suspect they are paying Turkey to house them. Saudi Arabia is a desert, just getting that many people water would be a problem. But I suppose if they can do it in Turkey...

As to why the fighting age men aren't staying in the country of origin, I guess they didn't want to fight? I don't know.

But yeah, don't flee to a country that shares your religion, where you would at least blend in. Flee to Europe, full of countries that don't want you, where you have nothing in common with the population, a completely different culture.
 
Maybe how you feel about the nature of humanity, good or bad, is dictated by your own experiences. I know my friend who is still in the military truly believes that people are savages, just held in check by laziness. Food, shelter, no need to be savage. Maybe I should start another thread, but that subject seems like it could lead to arguments, rather then conversations. Strong opinions on both sides.
 
I've been thinking about that Mav too,young healthy men flee like rats...sympathy?? not from me,if I were that fleeing type I would never have signed up
for active reserve here.
have way too much to fight for and more to come ;)
 
one might have sympathy if the refugee's are fleeing wars, bombings, genocide like what is happening in Syria and Mayanmar but most seem to be economic migrants and mostly fit young men, and what is more important is they are ILLEGAL immigrants.
under EU rules they are supposed to stop in the first safe country they come to, and that isn't France or Germany and it certainly isn't the UK.
 
If They had good intentions and were willing to build a good life then they would have the motivation to do so in their own Country . Most are jihadist or wanting free stuff .
That being said Im 100% for spending funds that would help refugees build a better life in their own Country .
 
I wish we had a member from Turkey, who could give a first hand account of the level of crime on those camps. 11k people is a town.

I agree a fighting age man should stay and fight if his country is invaded, or is divided by civil war. I'm certain some of the refugees in Europe are there to do harm, it only makes sense, and I do think that many terrorist networks are more than capable of the long range thinking required to send small groups among legitimate refugees.

I have Hungarian ancestry, and even though its nothing to do with me I am proud they are at least taking steps to put the people of their country first. I'm in no way against immigration, or the humanitarian act of housing refugees. But there has to be a point where you look at what is coming, and say enough is enough.

Still, the camps in Turkey look orderly. They are probably divided into ethnic and country of origin camps, which might help keep problems to a minimum. But I didn't read that anywhere, just guessing.

3.7 million people, Erdogan could just send them across the Med at any time.
 

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